Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.782354e-05 0.000104 0.000122 0.000142 0.000164 0.000188 0.000215
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.426834e-05 0.000086 0.000110 0.000139 0.000174 0.000212 0.000257
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.183098e-05 0.000075 0.000102 0.000137 0.000178 0.000226 0.000284
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.150148e-05 0.000066 0.000096 0.000135 0.000184 0.000242 0.000313
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.520188e-05 0.000060 0.000092 0.000136 0.000191 0.000257 0.000340
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.987251e-05 0.000055 0.000089 0.000137 0.000199 0.000274 0.000371
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.511800e-05 0.000050 0.000085 0.000136 0.000203 0.000286 0.000394
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.003589e-05 0.000044 0.000079 0.000132 0.000203 0.000293 0.000411
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.825309e-05 0.000043 0.000080 0.000137 0.000214 0.000314 0.000445
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.432165e-05 0.000037 0.000074 0.000132 0.000213 0.000318 0.000458
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.225922e-05 0.000035 0.000072 0.000132 0.000218 0.000330 0.000482
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.942542e-06 0.000031 0.000069 0.000130 0.000220 0.000338 0.000500
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.824161e-06 0.000030 0.000069 0.000135 0.000231 0.000360 0.000537
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.056930e-06 0.000027 0.000067 0.000134 0.000235 0.000373 0.000563
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.230151e-06 0.000024 0.000062 0.000130 0.000235 0.000378 0.000579
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.108334e-06 0.000022 0.000060 0.000130 0.000239 0.000390 0.000604
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.189491e-06 0.000020 0.000058 0.000129 0.000243 0.000402 0.000628
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.609786e-06 0.000019 0.000057 0.000131 0.000250 0.000418 0.000659
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.910663e-06 0.000017 0.000055 0.000130 0.000252 0.000427 0.000680
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.255921e-06 0.000014 0.000051 0.000126 0.000251 0.000432 0.000694
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.081451e-06 0.000014 0.000052 0.000130 0.000262 0.000453 0.000732
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.278708e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000126 0.000259 0.000455 0.000743
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.324799e-07 0.000011 0.000047 0.000126 0.000264 0.000468 0.000769